Monção vs Maria da Fonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
34.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
9º
14º
12º
25
9º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97.5% | 51% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 49% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
MER
20%
20%
60%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 0
MON
34%
22%
44%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
PED
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SMA
3 - 1
MON
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
AMA
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 0
MAR
34%
24%
43%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 3
SMA
25%
24%
51%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 0
MAR
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 3
VIA
37%
25%
38%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
TIR
2 - 0
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |