Monaghan United vs Home Farm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaghan United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1999 |
DRO
1 - 1
MON
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
MON
2 - 0
GAL
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
LON
2 - 1
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
MON
1 - 1
KIL
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
MON
2 - 1
LON
52%
24%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Home Farm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
HFA
1 - 2
LIM
46%
26%
29%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
ATH
1 - 1
HFA
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
HFA
0 - 1
COB
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
HFA
0 - 2
DRO
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1999 |
LIM
0 - 1
HFA
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |