First Division round 4

Monaghan United vs Bray Wanderers analysis

Monaghan United Bray Wanderers
54 ELO 60
-4.9% Tilt -3.2%
18504º General ELO ranking 2827º
57º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
37.4%
Monaghan United
26.2%
Draw
36.5%
Bray Wanderers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
Monaghan United
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.5%
Win probability
Bray Wanderers
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Monaghan United
Bray Wanderers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Monaghan United
Monaghan United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 1999
ATH
Athlone Town
2 - 2
Monaghan United
MON
50%
24%
26%
54 53 1 0
18 Aug. 1999
MON
Monaghan United
2 - 1
Home Farm
HFA
55%
24%
21%
54 52 2 0
15 Aug. 1999
COB
Cobh Ramblers
1 - 0
Monaghan United
MON
54%
24%
22%
54 57 3 0
02 May. 1999
COB
Cobh Ramblers
1 - 1
Monaghan United
MON
58%
23%
20%
53 58 5 +1
24 Apr. 1999
MON
Monaghan United
0 - 1
Limerick
LIM
45%
26%
30%
54 58 4 -1

Matches

Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 1999
BRW
Bray Wanderers
0 - 4
Grasshopper
GCZ
14%
20%
66%
61 83 22 0
22 Aug. 1999
BRW
Bray Wanderers
2 - 1
Kilkenny City
KIL
61%
23%
16%
61 56 5 0
18 Aug. 1999
STF
St. Francis FC
1 - 2
Bray Wanderers
BRW
22%
25%
53%
61 43 18 0
12 Aug. 1999
GCZ
Grasshopper
4 - 0
Bray Wanderers
BRW
95%
4%
1%
61 84 23 0
08 Aug. 1999
BRW
Bray Wanderers
1 - 0
Longford Town
LON
63%
22%
15%
61 57 4 0