Monagas vs Margarita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 0
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MON
3 - 1
YAR
34%
27%
38%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FAL
2 - 1
MON
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
POL
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 3
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Margarita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 3
MIN
63%
21%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
URE
5 - 2
MAR
59%
21%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 1
MIN
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
MAR
52%
24%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
FAL
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |