Clausura Venezuela Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Monagas vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
EST
0 - 1
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
EST
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
ZAM
51%
23%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
MET
0 - 2
MON
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
4 - 1
MON
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
LAR
6 - 2
ZAM
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2017 |
ZAM
1 - 1
LAR
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LAR
2 - 0
ARA
68%
19%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CFC
0 - 2
LAR
41%
25%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
LAR
3 - 3
EST
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |