Monagas II vs CS Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
43.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
16º
14º
41
2º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 46 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 45 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 45 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
47.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 41 |
6º
|
62% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 35 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 32 |
9º
|
46.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 32 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
61% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
43% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 24 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 21 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 71.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 28.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monagas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
ARA
3 - 0
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
MIR
2 - 1
MON
49%
28%
23%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
MON
1 - 1
MIN
34%
25%
40%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
BSC
1 - 1
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
MON
2 - 1
DPU
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
CS Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
MAR
6 - 1
ANG
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
BSC
1 - 0
MAR
21%
25%
54%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2025 |
AAF
3 - 2
MAR
34%
25%
40%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 1
DPU
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2025 |
MAR
0 - 0
AAF
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |