Monaco vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
16%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
NAN
1 - 0
MON
37%
28%
35%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2006 |
REI
0 - 0
MON
21%
26%
53%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
MON
1 - 3
TFC
64%
22%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
GIR
1 - 0
MON
42%
28%
30%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
MON
2 - 1
LMU
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
NIC
2 - 1
MAR
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
REN
1 - 0
NIC
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
NIC
3 - 0
LOR
56%
26%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
LIL
1 - 0
NIC
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
NIC
2 - 0
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |