Monaco vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1978 |
ASS
4 - 1
MON
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
STB
2 - 0
MON
58%
19%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1978 |
MON
2 - 1
PFC
79%
14%
8%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
MET
1 - 1
MON
44%
24%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1978 |
MON
3 - 0
REI
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1978 |
NIC
2 - 1
STL
70%
18%
13%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1978 |
LYO
4 - 0
NIC
56%
23%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
NIC
1 - 3
PSG
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1978 |
ASN
3 - 1
NIC
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1978 |
NIC
3 - 4
VAL
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |