Monaco II vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ROD
0 - 0
MON
42%
26%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MON
0 - 0
FCM
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CAN
3 - 0
MON
55%
25%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
TAR
0 - 0
MON
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
PAU
0 - 0
MON
35%
25%
39%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
NIC
3 - 1
MON
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 0
NIC
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 1
BEZ
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CON
0 - 0
NIC
64%
20%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
NIC
0 - 2
GRE
31%
27%
42%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |