Molodechno vs Ostrovets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
38.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
6º
11º
9º
39
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 5 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molodechno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MKK
4 - 2
MOL
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MOL
1 - 0
FCS
84%
11%
5%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
MOL
26%
23%
51%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
MOL
5 - 0
GOM
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
MOL
1 - 3
FKA
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ostrovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
OFC
2 - 5
MKK
49%
23%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 5
OFC
10%
17%
73%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
OFC
21%
21%
58%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
OFC
0 - 2
GOM
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ZOR
4 - 1
OFC
52%
22%
26%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |