Molodechno vs BATE Reservas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
3º
2º
19
2º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
18 | 68 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 66 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 62 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 58 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 57 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 56 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 54 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
|
4º
|
19 | 54 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 52 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 51 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 44 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 43 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 40 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 38 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 34 |
15º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 24 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 23 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 19 |
18º
|
55% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
53% | 6.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
15.5% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
31.5% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molodechno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 2
MOL
44%
23%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 0
MOL
53%
22%
25%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 1
MOL
52%
22%
26%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MIN
3 - 3
MOL
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DNM
5 - 0
MOL
80%
13%
7%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
BATE Reservas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BAT
2 - 1
BAR
46%
23%
31%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 2
BAT
13%
19%
68%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
BAT
1 - 0
NEG
80%
13%
7%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 3
BAT
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
BAT
5 - 1
SLU
93%
6%
2%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | +1 |