Moldavia U19 vs Lituania U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
34.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldavia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
GRC
2 - 1
MDA
75%
17%
8%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
MDA
89%
8%
3%
|
37 | 70 | 33 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
MDA
1 - 2
AND
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NED
3 - 0
MDA
78%
15%
7%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
POL
4 - 1
MDA
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Lituania U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
POR
5 - 0
LTU
88%
9%
3%
|
40 | 70 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
GRC
1 - 0
LTU
75%
17%
9%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
LTU
2 - 2
BEL
13%
19%
68%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
RUS
6 - 0
LTU
79%
15%
7%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
SWE
1 - 1
LTU
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |