Mold Alexandra vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
40.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
16º
10º
43
4º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mold Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
MOL
1 - 1
PRE
36%
20%
43%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
MOL
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 2
MOL
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 1
MOL
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MOL
2 - 0
BUC
31%
22%
48%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
BUC
5 - 0
CEF
39%
24%
38%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 2
CEF
25%
21%
55%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
CEF
0 - 1
GRE
66%
18%
16%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 5
CEF
17%
20%
63%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
CEF
6 - 1
AAA
75%
14%
12%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |