Moinhos vs Pereira ADCR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 0
MOI
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MOI
0 - 1
GOI
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
POI
3 - 1
MOI
53%
22%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MOI
2 - 1
BRA
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MOI
1 - 0
SSI
65%
19%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pereira ADCR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PER
1 - 2
ADE
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
VRA
4 - 1
PER
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PER
2 - 3
LOU
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SEP
0 - 1
PER
37%
23%
40%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GAN
0 - 2
PER
50%
23%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |