Mohammedan Dhaka vs Fortis FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3.3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+98%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
7º
4º
23
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 5 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Challenge League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mohammedan Dhaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
UTT
0 - 6
MDH
6%
14%
80%
|
26 | 6 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
MDH
0 - 1
BAS
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
MDH
2 - 2
SHJ
41%
24%
35%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
ABA
2 - 0
MDH
59%
21%
21%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
MDH
1 - 1
SHJ
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fortis FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 1
SHR
8%
15%
76%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 2
MUK
17%
24%
59%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 0
FOR
83%
12%
6%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
BPF
9%
16%
75%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MUK
1 - 1
FOR
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |