Moguer CD vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moguer CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
CCF
0 - 1
MOG
65%
21%
15%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
MOG
1 - 0
RIO
60%
22%
18%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
BRE
3 - 0
MOG
67%
20%
13%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
MOG
1 - 1
ILI
35%
28%
37%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
BET
5 - 2
MOG
80%
14%
6%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
LUC
0 - 1
MAI
44%
27%
29%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
CDR
3 - 0
LUC
65%
21%
15%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
LUC
0 - 1
SAN
43%
28%
29%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
ARC
1 - 0
LUC
60%
22%
19%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
LUC
1 - 1
SEV
22%
25%
52%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | +1 |