Moguer CD vs CD Bonares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moguer CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
COR
0 - 5
MOG
10%
17%
73%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
ARO
0 - 0
MOG
22%
22%
56%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
CDC
2 - 1
MOG
20%
21%
59%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MOG
3 - 2
REP
81%
13%
7%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
MOG
2 - 2
ROS
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Bonares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
CDF
1 - 0
REP
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CDC
0 - 0
CDF
45%
23%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
CDF
3 - 2
ROS
50%
23%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ALM
1 - 1
CDF
52%
21%
28%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
CDF
3 - 2
OVA
28%
23%
49%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |