Mogren vs Zemun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2000 |
ZEL
4 - 0
MOG
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
MOG
0 - 2
CRV
50%
24%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
BOR
0 - 1
MOG
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2000 |
MOG
2 - 0
MIL
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
SME
3 - 1
MOG
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Zemun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2000 |
ZEM
2 - 1
OBI
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
HAJ
3 - 1
ZEM
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
ZEM
2 - 1
VOJ
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2000 |
ZRE
1 - 0
ZEM
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
ZEM
0 - 3
HAJ
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |