Mogren vs Sutjeska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
39.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
MLA
0 - 0
MOG
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
DEC
0 - 0
MOG
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BER
2 - 0
MOG
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
MOG
1 - 2
PET
51%
27%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
ZET
4 - 0
MOG
69%
19%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sutjeska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
SUT
1 - 0
BER
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
PET
1 - 0
SUT
33%
29%
38%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
ZET
1 - 0
SUT
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
SUT
0 - 0
GRB
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
BUD
1 - 0
SUT
46%
29%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |