Mogren vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
ZET
1 - 0
MOG
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MOG
0 - 0
GRB
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LOV
1 - 0
MOG
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MOG
0 - 2
SUT
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
JED
1 - 2
MOG
27%
28%
45%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
GRB
1 - 1
MLA
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MOG
0 - 0
GRB
52%
26%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ZET
1 - 0
GRB
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GRB
1 - 0
LOV
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
SUT
1 - 0
GRB
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |