Mogren vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
MLA
1 - 1
MOG
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
MOG
2 - 0
MOR
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 1
PET
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MOG
2 - 1
BOK
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
RUD
2 - 0
MOG
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
GRB
0 - 1
RUD
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
RUD
1 - 1
GRB
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SUT
0 - 3
GRB
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GRB
0 - 0
LOV
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
IGA
4 - 6
GRB
30%
25%
46%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |