Mogi Mirim vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
CAP
2 - 2
MOG
37%
23%
40%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
MOG
2 - 1
BRA
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
MOG
0 - 0
SAN
16%
23%
61%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
XVD
0 - 1
MOG
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MOG
2 - 1
PAY
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 1
SAO
35%
27%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
ITU
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
RBB
1 - 1
PEN
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 3
SAO
13%
21%
66%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PEN
4 - 0
PEL
62%
22%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |