Moeche ADC vs Cariño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
51.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moeche ADC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MOE
3 - 0
MON
61%
19%
20%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
NAR
1 - 2
MOE
79%
13%
9%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MOE
2 - 3
SAD
12%
18%
70%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ESO
3 - 1
MOE
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MOE
1 - 3
MEI
17%
19%
64%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cariño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
NAR
42%
22%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SAD
1 - 0
CAR
65%
17%
18%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
ESO
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MEI
3 - 0
CAR
57%
20%
24%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
BAR
37%
22%
42%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |