Moeche ADC vs Cariño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
36.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moeche ADC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 7
MOE
29%
22%
49%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MOE
0 - 3
MEI
12%
17%
71%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
MOE
47%
20%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MOE
0 - 1
CAP
46%
22%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CEB
2 - 0
MOE
86%
9%
5%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cariño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
EUM
53%
20%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 3
CAR
21%
19%
60%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
BAR
17%
18%
65%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MEI
3 - 0
CAR
78%
13%
9%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
EST
63%
18%
19%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |