Modum vs Ullern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2012 |
MJO
4 - 1
MOD
44%
24%
33%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 2
MOD
10%
18%
72%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
MOD
1 - 3
LYN
18%
23%
60%
|
30 | 64 | 34 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
RIL
1 - 0
MOD
11%
18%
71%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MOD
6 - 3
ROA
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2012 |
ULL
3 - 6
LOM
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
MJO
1 - 1
ULL
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2012 |
ULL
3 - 1
BAE
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
ULL
2 - 0
ASK
83%
12%
6%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 2
ULL
10%
18%
73%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |