Modum vs Raufoss II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.2%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.5%
3.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
ULL
1 - 0
MOD
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
MOD
5 - 2
BAE
84%
11%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
MOD
4 - 0
MJO
81%
12%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
LOM
1 - 2
MOD
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
MOD
1 - 1
JEV
68%
17%
15%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Raufoss II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
RAU
1 - 2
MJO
14%
17%
69%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
LOM
2 - 1
RAU
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
RAU
1 - 5
JEV
10%
16%
74%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
HBK
3 - 0
RAU
68%
17%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
RAU
0 - 2
HOL
13%
18%
69%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | -1 |