Modum vs Asker II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SSK
1 - 4
MOD
11%
18%
72%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
MOD
3 - 2
RAU
89%
8%
3%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
ULL
1 - 0
MOD
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
MOD
5 - 2
BAE
84%
11%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
MOD
4 - 0
MJO
81%
12%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Asker II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
ASK
3 - 3
MJO
43%
21%
35%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
LOM
4 - 0
ASK
60%
19%
21%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
ASK
2 - 2
JEV
23%
20%
57%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
HBK
1 - 3
ASK
32%
22%
46%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
ASK
2 - 8
HOL
23%
22%
55%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |