Modling vs Leoben analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
VIE
1 - 2
MOD
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
MOD
4 - 0
GRA
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1987 |
AUK
0 - 0
MOD
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 0
VOR
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1987 |
MOD
1 - 0
EIS
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Leoben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1987 |
GRA
2 - 0
LBN
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
LBN
0 - 1
AUK
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1987 |
LBN
0 - 2
VIE
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1987 |
RBS
0 - 0
LBN
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
VOR
1 - 0
LBN
49%
27%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |