Modica vs Sapri Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
COM
0 - 1
MOD
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MOD
2 - 0
MES
17%
24%
59%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 0
ASR
34%
26%
40%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
ACP
1 - 1
MOD
48%
25%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
MOD
4 - 0
ASD
39%
26%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Sapri Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 4
AVE
19%
23%
58%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
VIG
1 - 1
SPC
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 2
MES
22%
25%
53%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
TRA
2 - 0
SPC
63%
22%
16%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SPC
3 - 0
COM
57%
22%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |