Modica vs Nissa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ACA
3 - 3
MOD
23%
26%
51%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 3
AVE
18%
23%
59%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
FCR
2 - 2
MOD
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
VIG
1 - 0
MOD
39%
28%
33%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
MOD
3 - 1
USC
59%
23%
19%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Nissa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
NIS
0 - 0
FCR
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
VIG
0 - 3
NIS
42%
26%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
NIS
1 - 0
USC
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
TRA
3 - 0
NIS
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
NIS
2 - 1
MES
22%
25%
53%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +2 |