Modica vs ASD HinterReggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ASD
3 - 2
MOD
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
MOD
4 - 2
VIR
49%
25%
27%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
MIL
0 - 1
MOD
64%
21%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MOD
0 - 2
GSM
49%
25%
26%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
NIS
3 - 0
MOD
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
ASD HinterReggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ASD
1 - 1
VIG
50%
25%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
USC
2 - 3
ASD
34%
26%
40%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ASD
1 - 2
TRA
32%
27%
41%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
SPC
3 - 1
ASD
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ASD
0 - 1
COM
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |