Campionato Primavera 1 round 4

Modena U19 vs Parma U19 analysis

Modena U19 Parma U19
21 ELO 28
-3% Tilt -6.4%
9729º General ELO ranking 5727º
356º Country ELO ranking 208º
ELO win probability
33.4%
Modena U19
25.6%
Draw
41%
Parma U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
Modena U19
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41%
Win probability
Parma U19
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Modena U19
+116%
-20%
Parma U19

ELO progression

Modena U19
Parma U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Modena U19
Modena U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 2009
SIE
Siena U19
2 - 1
Modena U19
MOD
69%
19%
12%
21 36 15 0
28 Nov. 2009
MOD
Modena U19
0 - 3
Fiorentina U19
FIO
22%
23%
55%
22 37 15 -1
21 Nov. 2009
EMP
Empoli U19
3 - 0
Modena U19
MOD
74%
16%
10%
23 39 16 -1
14 Nov. 2009
MOD
Modena U19
0 - 1
Sampdoria U19
SAM
23%
24%
52%
24 40 16 -1
07 Nov. 2009
CAG
Cagliari U19
4 - 0
Modena U19
MOD
61%
22%
17%
24 31 7 0

Matches

Parma U19
Parma U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 2009
PCZ
Piacenza U19
2 - 2
Parma U19
PAR
54%
23%
23%
28 29 1 0
28 Nov. 2009
PAR
Parma U19
1 - 1
Torino U19
TOR
50%
24%
26%
28 26 2 0
21 Nov. 2009
SIE
Siena U19
2 - 0
Parma U19
PAR
57%
23%
19%
29 36 7 -1
14 Nov. 2009
PAR
Parma U19
1 - 0
Livorno U19
LIV
62%
21%
18%
28 21 7 +1
31 Oct. 2009
SAS
Sassuolo U19
0 - 1
Parma U19
PAR
49%
24%
26%
27 28 1 +1