Modena vs Trapani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
42%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 1
MOD
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 2
CAG
19%
27%
54%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 2
COM
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 0
MOD
57%
25%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 0
LIV
40%
28%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Trapani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
TRA
3 - 0
BRE
51%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 2
TRA
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
TRA
1 - 0
LIV
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIC
1 - 2
TRA
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 2
CAG
26%
27%
48%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |