Modena vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
21.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
AVE
2 - 0
MOD
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MOD
0 - 1
VIC
48%
28%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SAS
2 - 0
MOD
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MOD
3 - 0
TUT
75%
18%
7%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
MOD
3 - 2
COR
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TER
1 - 1
CAG
20%
28%
52%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TRA
3 - 0
TER
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
TER
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
TER
2 - 0
BV5
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
TER
2 - 0
VAR
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |