Modena vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
FER
0 - 1
MOD
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
MOD
4 - 1
MAT
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
RAV
0 - 0
MOD
21%
27%
52%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
MOD
1 - 1
TRI
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
VIS
1 - 0
MOD
17%
27%
56%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
SSS
1 - 3
IMO
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
SSS
38%
24%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SSS
2 - 2
FAN
65%
22%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
SSS
22%
25%
54%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
ASG
1 - 2
SSS
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |