Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 3-2
Modena vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
12.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
PAR
3 - 0
MOD
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
MOD
2 - 0
LEC
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
EMP
0 - 3
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
SSS
2 - 1
MOD
24%
28%
48%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
MOD
2 - 0
BOL
31%
27%
43%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 1
SSS
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
SSS
0 - 1
SOR
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
GIU
1 - 3
SSS
26%
29%
45%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
SSS
2 - 1
TAR
60%
25%
16%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
SSS
2 - 1
MOD
24%
28%
48%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +2 |