Modena vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
MOD
2 - 2
FCC
49%
31%
20%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
BRE
1 - 1
MOD
59%
25%
16%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
MOD
1 - 0
ASS
45%
30%
25%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
MOD
1 - 2
ROM
33%
28%
40%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1977 |
FIO
2 - 0
MOD
86%
10%
4%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
SSS
0 - 1
USC
53%
29%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
CAG
0 - 0
SSS
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
SSS
1 - 1
BAR
52%
30%
18%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
VER
3 - 5
SSS
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
CES
3 - 1
SSS
70%
19%
12%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |