Modena vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
EMP
0 - 3
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
SSS
2 - 1
MOD
24%
28%
48%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
MOD
2 - 0
BOL
31%
27%
43%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ANC
1 - 1
MOD
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
MOD
0 - 1
UDI
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 4
BRE
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ACM
3 - 0
LEC
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 2
CHI
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
LEC
3 - 1
ANC
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
CAT
3 - 0
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |