Modena vs Union Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MAT
2 - 1
MOD
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MOD
3 - 0
RAV
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
TRI
1 - 0
MOD
46%
28%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MOD
3 - 1
VIS
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ASG
0 - 2
MOD
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Union Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
FER
0 - 1
FCS
48%
27%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CES
2 - 4
FER
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
FER
2 - 1
IMO
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MAT
3 - 1
FER
32%
25%
44%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
LEC
2 - 0
FER
82%
12%
6%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |