Modena vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ARZ
0 - 1
MOD
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MOD
1 - 0
FER
65%
22%
14%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CES
0 - 0
MOD
54%
25%
22%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MOD
1 - 2
FCS
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
MAN
0 - 0
MOD
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
ARZ
1 - 1
FAN
61%
23%
17%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
FAN
1 - 1
FER
14%
22%
64%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
FAN
1 - 0
LEG
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
VIS
0 - 0
FAN
47%
28%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
FAN
1 - 2
VIR
25%
28%
48%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |