Modena vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 0
MOD
57%
25%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 0
LIV
40%
28%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 1
MOD
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LAT
0 - 1
MOD
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 0
BRE
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 3
CES
22%
27%
51%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LAT
1 - 1
COM
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
VIR
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BRE
2 - 1
COM
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 0
COM
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |