Modena vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
MOD
0 - 0
VNZ
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
SER
2 - 0
MOD
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
MOD
0 - 0
REG
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
UNI
2 - 0
MOD
65%
19%
16%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
BAR
0 - 0
MOD
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
BAR
1 - 1
SPE
49%
24%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
SPE
0 - 1
MES
58%
20%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
SPE
1 - 0
SIR
62%
20%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
VIC
4 - 1
SPE
63%
19%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
TRE
4 - 2
SPE
59%
20%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |