Modena vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
PES
2 - 2
MOD
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 0
AVE
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
BRE
0 - 1
MOD
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MOD
3 - 1
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
SIE
1 - 3
MOD
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
CES
1 - 3
LAT
53%
27%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
REG
1 - 2
CES
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
CES
1 - 0
EMP
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
PAD
0 - 1
CES
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CES
2 - 0
AVE
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |