Modena vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
25.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
TRI
1 - 0
MOD
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
MOD
0 - 0
NAP
42%
30%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 0
MOD
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
MOD
1 - 1
VIC
58%
26%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOD
38%
29%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2007 |
ARZ
1 - 0
ACM
13%
24%
63%
|
66 | 93 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2007 |
ARZ
4 - 1
RIM
39%
29%
33%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2007 |
ACM
2 - 0
ARZ
86%
11%
3%
|
65 | 93 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
JUV
2 - 2
ARZ
79%
15%
6%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2006 |
ARZ
0 - 0
CRO
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |