Modbury Jets vs Sturt Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
19.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
11º
5º
16
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 28 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
49% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
77.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Modbury Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ADO
3 - 2
MOD
42%
22%
36%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MOD
2 - 2
ADE
14%
18%
68%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
1 - 2
MOD
74%
15%
12%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MOD
4 - 3
SAP
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
WAD
3 - 2
MOD
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sturt Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ADE
0 - 0
SLF
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SLF
1 - 1
ADO
35%
23%
42%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ADE
2 - 0
SLF
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SLF
1 - 4
19%
19%
62%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
SAP
1 - 1
SLF
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |