Mo IL vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
75.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mo IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
GRO
9 - 0
MOI
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
SEN
2 - 0
MOI
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
MOI
3 - 2
TRO
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 1
MOI
73%
16%
12%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
MOI
0 - 2
KJE
14%
21%
65%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | -2 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 1
ULL
86%
10%
4%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 0
SKE
70%
17%
13%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
OPP
1 - 1
FOL
30%
23%
47%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
GRO
1 - 1
FOL
31%
23%
46%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 0
SEN
76%
15%
9%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |