Mladost Lučani vs Metalac GM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
26.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mladost Lučani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
MLA
1 - 1
JAV
36%
30%
34%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
MLA
0 - 2
ČUK
29%
30%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RAD
3 - 1
MLA
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
VOZ
4 - 1
MLA
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MLA
0 - 1
RAD
39%
30%
31%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MET
2 - 0
BOR
36%
30%
35%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
JAV
1 - 0
MET
52%
28%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MET
2 - 2
RAD
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RAD
0 - 0
MET
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
MET
0 - 0
VOJ
23%
28%
50%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |