Norwegian Fourth Division Group 6 Round 18

Mjølner vs Elverum analysis

Mjølner Elverum
26 ELO 46
9.3% Tilt 5.2%
24260º General ELO ranking 5424º
230º Country ELO ranking 75º
ELO win probability
13.7%
Mjølner
16.6%
Draw
69.7%
Elverum

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
Mjølner
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
69.6%
Win probability
Elverum
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mjølner
-41%
+9%
Elverum

Points and table prediction

Mjølner
Their league position
Elverum
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
13º
13º
58
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hønefoss
74
74
100%
Fløya
60
60
100%
Elverum
58
58
100%
Harstad
51
51
100%
Skjervøy
50
50
100%
Kongsvinger II
41
41
100%
HamKam II
35
35
100%
Fredrikstad II
31
31
100%
Fyllingsdalen
25
25
100%
IL Ulfstind
10º
24
24
10º
100%
Innstrandens
11º
24
24
11º
100%
Sprint-Jeløy
12º
23
23
12º
100%
Mjølner
13º
21
21
13º
100%
Bodø / Glimt II
14º
5
5
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mjølner
Elverum
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Mjølner
Elverum
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mjølner
Mjølner
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 2024
KON
Kongsvinger II
1 - 1
Mjølner
MJO
65%
18%
17%
28 33 5 0
11 Aug. 2024
MJO
Mjølner
3 - 0
Bodø / Glimt II
FBG
80%
12%
8%
27 18 9 +1
03 Aug. 2024
HAR
Harstad
1 - 1
Mjølner
MJO
70%
16%
14%
27 33 6 0
28 Jul. 2024
MJO
Mjølner
0 - 1
Innstrandens
IFC
74%
14%
12%
27 20 7 0
21 Jul. 2024
ELV
Elverum
3 - 1
Mjølner
MJO
82%
11%
7%
28 43 15 -1

Matches

Elverum
Elverum
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2024
ELV
Elverum
7 - 1
IL Ulfstind
ILU
87%
9%
5%
45 23 22 0
10 Aug. 2024
SJE
Sprint-Jeløy
1 - 3
Elverum
ELV
11%
15%
75%
44 24 20 +1
05 Aug. 2024
ELV
Elverum
6 - 1
HamKam II
HAM
79%
12%
9%
44 30 14 0
27 Jul. 2024
FYL
Fyllingsdalen
0 - 3
Elverum
ELV
10%
15%
75%
43 22 21 +1
21 Jul. 2024
ELV
Elverum
3 - 1
Mjølner
MJO
82%
11%
7%
43 28 15 0