Mixto vs Vila Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
MGR
0 - 5
MIX
25%
23%
52%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
MIX
3 - 0
RON
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
MIX
2 - 1
AAC
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
MIX
2 - 2
URO
42%
25%
34%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
VIL
4 - 1
MIX
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
URO
1 - 1
VIL
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 1
URO
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 1
CRA
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 1
VIL
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 2
URO
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |