Clausura Guatemala Normal Season Round 5

Mixco vs Xinabajul analysis

Mixco Xinabajul
56 ELO 60
-5.4% Tilt -9.7%
2785º General ELO ranking 3135º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
35.4%
Mixco
29.2%
Draw
35.4%
Xinabajul

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
Mixco
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
35.4%
Win probability
Xinabajul
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mixco
-1%
-25%
Xinabajul

Points and table prediction

Mixco
Their league position
Xinabajul
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
12º
29
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Municipal
44
44
100%
Comunicaciones
43
43
100%
Xelajú
41
41
100%
Guastatoya
30
30
0%
Antigua GFC
30
30
0%
Mixco
29
29
100%
Xinabajul
29
29
100%
Achuapa
23
24
49%
Cobán Imperial
22
23
31%
Iztapa
10º
20
21
10º
32%
Malacateco
11º
19
20
11º
17%
Cotzumalguapa
12º
19
19
12º
60%
Expected probabilities
Mixco
Xinabajul
Next round
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Mixco
Xinabajul
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mixco
Mixco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2023
MUN
Municipal
2 - 2
Mixco
MIX
57%
24%
19%
56 60 4 0
01 Feb. 2023
MIX
Mixco
0 - 1
Xelajú
CHI
32%
29%
39%
56 62 6 0
28 Jan. 2023
MIX
Mixco
3 - 0
Achuapa
ACH
29%
28%
43%
55 60 5 +1
22 Jan. 2023
IZT
Iztapa
3 - 1
Mixco
MIX
63%
21%
16%
56 60 4 -1
27 Nov. 2022
MIX
Mixco
2 - 2
Iztapa
IZT
27%
26%
47%
55 60 5 +1

Matches

Xinabajul
Xinabajul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 2023
XIN
Xinabajul
1 - 0
Iztapa
IZT
33%
27%
40%
59 60 1 0
01 Feb. 2023
SLC
Cotzumalguapa
0 - 1
Xinabajul
XIN
46%
27%
27%
58 58 0 +1
30 Jan. 2023
XIN
Xinabajul
1 - 0
Guastatoya
GUA
36%
31%
33%
57 62 5 +1
23 Jan. 2023
COM
Comunicaciones
0 - 0
Xinabajul
XIN
55%
25%
21%
57 60 3 0
27 Nov. 2022
XIN
Xinabajul
0 - 1
Municipal
MUN
33%
30%
38%
58 62 4 -1